AI Model Win Probability
GENERALS
0%
DUKES
100%
GENERALS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
WASHINGTON AND LEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Washington and Lee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UWL -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UWL)
UWL By 1-7 points
9.3%
UWL By 8-14 points
20.1%
JMU By 1-7 points
2.2%
JMU By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington and Lee
91
WASHINGTON AND LEE
James Madison
72
JAMES MADISON
Simulated Score
Washington and Lee
52
WASHINGTON AND LEE
James Madison
95
JAMES MADISON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Generals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Generals (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
UWL @ JMU
56 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Washington and Lee: 88.0%
vs
James Madison: 81.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Washington and Lee: 39.0%
vs
James Madison: 33.1%
Steals (L5)
+188.0% more
James Madison: 5.8
vs
Washington and Lee: 2.0
Blocks (L5)
+146.0% more
James Madison: 4.9
vs
Washington and Lee: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UWL Score
91.0
56
JMU Score
72.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 39.0
17.0 / 27.0
Assists
11.1 / 9.0
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.0
9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 38.0
42.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
81.8 / 88.0
80.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 31.0
44.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.8 / 2.0
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.0
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UWL
--
JMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UWL
--
JMU
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UWL
--
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JMU
UWL
JMU
UWL
ML
64%
21-12
0%
0-1
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
ATS
67%
22-11
0%
0-1
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
TTL
67%
22-11
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0