WHITTIER
POETSWHI
0-0 | Road
61
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
1-1 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
POETS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
100%
POETS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
WHITTIER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Whittier)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WHI -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WHI)
WHI By 1-7 points
0.1%
WHI By 8-14 points
0.5%
CSUB By 1-7 points
0.0%
CSUB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Whittier
86
WHITTIER
Cal State Bakersfield
46
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Simulated Score
Whittier
45
WHITTIER
Cal State Bakersfield
88
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Poets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Poets (+15.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
WHI @ CSUB
61 - 83
Dec 5, 2023
WHI @ CSUB
58 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.1% more
Whittier: 5.2
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 3.3
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
Whittier: 15.4
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 13.5
Steals (L5)
+30.2% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 5.8
vs
Whittier: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+12.2% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 10.1
vs
Whittier: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WHI Score
86.0
61
CSUB Score
46.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 21.4
22.0 / 24.0
Assists
10.1 / 9.0
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.2
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 30.1
42.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 67.6
61.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 31.2
58.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.8 / 4.4
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 15.4
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WHI
--
CSUB
Advantage
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WHI
--
CSUB
Advantage
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WHI
--
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUB
WHI
CSUB
WHI
ML
55%
17-14
0%
0-1
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
ATS
61%
19-12
0%
0-1
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
18-13
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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