AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
COLONELS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
CURRY COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Curry College)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CUR -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CUR)
CUR By 1-7 points
0.5%
CUR By 8-14 points
2.7%
UNH By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Curry College
88
CURRY COLLEGE
New Hampshire
55
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
Curry College
55
CURRY COLLEGE
New Hampshire
85
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Colonels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Colonels (+15.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
CUR @ UNH
31 - 113
Nov 8, 2023
CUR @ UNH
38 - 115
Nov 5, 2019
CUR @ UNH
29 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+35.9% more
Curry College: 19.0
vs
New Hampshire: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+20.2%
Curry College: 80.0%
vs
New Hampshire: 59.8%
Blocks (L5)
+13.5% more
Curry College: 2.0
vs
New Hampshire: 1.7
Assists (L5)
+82.2% more
New Hampshire: 9.1
vs
Curry College: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CUR Score
88.0
31
UNH Score
55.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.5 / 17.7
38.0 / 13.0
Assists
9.1 / 5.0
23.0 / 4.0
Blocks
1.7 / 2.0
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
33.9 / 15.0
49.0 / 17.0
Free Throw %
59.8 / 80.0
75.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 27.7
71.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.7
10.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 19.0
10.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CUR
--
UNH
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CUR
--
UNH
Advantage
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CUR
--
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
CUR
UNH
CUR
ML
70%
19-8
0%
0-1
74%
20-7
100%
1-0
ATS
67%
18-9
0%
0-1
74%
20-7
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
16-11
100%
1-0
100%
27-0
100%
1-0