CENTRAL PENN
KNIGHTSCPC
0-0 | Road
77
MORGAN STATE
BEARSMORG
1-1 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
BEARS
100%
KNIGHTS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
199.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
CENTRAL PENN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Central Penn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CPC -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CPC)
CPC By 1-7 points
0.0%
CPC By 8-14 points
0.2%
MORG By 1-7 points
0.0%
MORG By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Penn
121
CENTRAL PENN
Morgan State
78
MORGAN STATE
Simulated Score
Central Penn
52
CENTRAL PENN
Morgan State
95
MORGAN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knights (+15.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o161.5
Win
Proj Total: 199.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
CPC @ MORG
77 - 101
Dec 1, 2024
CPC @ MORG
70 - 123
Nov 6, 2019
CPC @ MORG
44 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.9% more
Central Penn: 7.5
vs
Morgan State: 5.2
Turnovers (L5)
+22.2% more
Central Penn: 18.6
vs
Morgan State: 14.5
Blocks (L5)
+465.8% more
Morgan State: 6.8
vs
Central Penn: 1.2
Assists (L5)
+35.5% more
Morgan State: 9.7
vs
Central Penn: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CPC Score
121.0
77
MORG Score
78.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 15.8
29.0 / 45.0
Assists
9.7 / 7.1
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
6.8 / 1.2
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 30.7
56.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 47.0
74.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 30.6
38.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.2 / 7.5
14.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 18.6
17.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CPC
--
MORG
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CPC
--
MORG
Advantage
14-12-1
(53.8%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CPC
--
MORG
16-11-0
O: 59.3% / U: 40.7%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MORG
CPC
MORG
CPC
ML
50%
14-14
33%
1-2
58%
14-10
100%
3-0
ATS
50%
14-14
33%
1-2
58%
14-10
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
14-14
67%
2-1
100%
24-0
100%
3-0
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