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MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN

MUSTANGSMATC

0-0  |  Road

43
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Convocation Center (VA)
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

1-1  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
MUSTANGS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
MUSTANGS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Mid-Atlantic Christian)
MustangsMATC (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mustangs Cover

100.0%

Pirates Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MATC -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MATC)

MATC By 1-7 points

0.0%

MATC By 8-14 points

0.0%

HAMP By 1-7 points

0.0%

HAMP By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
101
MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
46
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
58
MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
92
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mustangs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mustangs (+15.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 MATC @ HAMP 43 - 103
Nov 4, 2024 MATC @ HAMP 53 - 110
Nov 9, 2023 MATC @ HAMP 46 - 109
Nov 9, 2021 MATC @ HAMP 51 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +33.6% more
Mid-Atlantic Christian: 17.7 vs Hampton: 11.8
Steals (L5) +25.5% more
Mid-Atlantic Christian: 8.7 vs Hampton: 6.5
Blocks (L5) +169.1% more
Hampton: 3.0 vs Mid-Atlantic Christian: 1.1
Rebounding (L5) +63.8% more
Hampton: 37.9 vs Mid-Atlantic Christian: 23.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MATC Score 101.0 43
HAMP Score 46.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 21.4 47.0 / 13.0
Assists 12.0 / 10.4 30.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.0 / 1.1 10.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 40.1 61.0 / 24.0
Free Throw % 66.0 / 59.7 50.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 23.1 57.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.5 / 8.7 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 17.7 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MATC
--
HAMP Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MATC
--
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MATC
--
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
MATC
HAMP
MATC
ML
53% 17-15
75% 3-1
75% 24-8
100% 4-0
ATS
50% 16-16
75% 3-1
75% 24-8
100% 4-0
TTL
68% 21-10-1
75% 3-1
100% 32-0
100% 4-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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