AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET HAWKS
0%
SYCAMORES
100%
SCARLET HAWKS
--
SYCAMORES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
ILLINOIS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Illinois Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ILLTECH -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ILLTECH)
ILLTECH By 1-7 points
0.0%
ILLTECH By 8-14 points
0.2%
INST By 1-7 points
0.0%
INST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Illinois Tech
96
ILLINOIS TECH
Indiana State
53
INDIANA STATE
Simulated Score
Illinois Tech
58
ILLINOIS TECH
Indiana State
96
INDIANA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Scarlet Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sycamores
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Scarlet Hawks (+15.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Sycamores (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
ILLTECH @ INST
73 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.6% more
Illinois Tech: 2.3
vs
Indiana State: 1.5
Turnovers (L5)
+29.2% more
Illinois Tech: 14.3
vs
Indiana State: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.7%
Illinois Tech: 43.3%
vs
Indiana State: 33.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.2%
Illinois Tech: 72.7%
vs
Indiana State: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ILLTECH Score
96.0
73
INST Score
53.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 43.3
27.0 / 36.0
Assists
17.9 / 13.3
21.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.5 / 2.3
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 37.0
55.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 72.7
71.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 31.7
50.0 / 21.0
Steals
5.7 / 1.7
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 14.3
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ILLTECH
--
INST
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ILLTECH
--
INST
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ILLTECH
--
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
INST
ILLTECH
INST
ILLTECH
ML
66%
21-11
50%
1-1
53%
17-15
100%
2-0
ATS
62%
20-12
50%
1-1
53%
17-15
100%
2-0
TTL
53%
17-15
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0