Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Falcons BCWV @ BGSU

BETHANY (WV)

BISONBCWV

0-0  |  Road

65
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Stroh Center
View Odds Details →

BOWLING GREEN

FALCONSBGSU

2-0  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
📊
FALCONS
100%
BISON --
FALCONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
BETHANY (WV)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Bethany (WV))
BisonBCWV (-3.5) 0 FalconsBGSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

100.0%

Falcons Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BCWV -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCWV)

BCWV By 1-7 points

0.1%

BCWV By 8-14 points

0.5%

BGSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

BGSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
98
BETHANY (WV)
58
BOWLING GREEN
Simulated Score
48
BETHANY (WV)
92
BOWLING GREEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bison Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Falcons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bison (+15.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Falcons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 BCWV @ BGSU 65 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.5% more
Bethany (WV): 23.1 vs Bowling Green: 14.2
Assists (L5) +11.3% more
Bethany (WV): 13.6 vs Bowling Green: 12.1
Blocks (L5) +76.7% more
Bowling Green: 2.4 vs Bethany (WV): 1.3
Rebounding (L5) +49.3% more
Bowling Green: 37.1 vs Bethany (WV): 24.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCWV Score 98.0 65
BGSU Score 58.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 33.5 25.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.1 / 13.6 21.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.4 / 1.3 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 38.8 53.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 53.6 73.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 24.9 51.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.6 27.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 23.1 14.0 / 33.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCWV
--
BGSU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCWV
--
BGSU Advantage
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BCWV
--
BGSU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BGSU
BCWV
BGSU
BCWV
ML
66% 21-11
0% 0-2
56% 18-14
100% 2-0
ATS
72% 23-9
50% 1-1
56% 18-14
100% 2-0
TTL
53% 17-15
50% 1-1
100% 32-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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