Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Vikings CAPITAL @ CLE

CAPITAL

CRUSADERSCAPITAL

0-0  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Wolstein Center
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

1-1  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
0%
📊
VIKINGS
100%
CRUSADERS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
CAPITAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Capital)
CrusadersCAPITAL (-3.5) 0 VikingsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

99.8%

Vikings Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAPITAL -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAPITAL)

CAPITAL By 1-7 points

1.4%

CAPITAL By 8-14 points

5.8%

CLE By 1-7 points

0.1%

CLE By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
77
CAPITAL
48
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
47
CAPITAL
89
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Crusaders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Crusaders (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 CAPITAL @ CLE 70 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +50.8% more
Capital: 11.0 vs Cleveland State: 5.4
Blocks (L5) +293.0% more
Cleveland State: 3.9 vs Capital: 1.0
Free Throw % (L5) +31.6%
Cleveland State: 81.6% vs Capital: 50.0%
Assists (L5) +27.3% more
Cleveland State: 12.7 vs Capital: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAPITAL Score 77.0 70
CLE Score 48.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 31.0 39.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.7 / 10.0 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.0 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 33.0 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 81.6 / 50.0 63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 35.0 36.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.4 / 11.0 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 12.0 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAPITAL
--
CLE Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAPITAL
--
CLE Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAPITAL
--
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CAPITAL
CLE
CAPITAL
ML
52% 17-16
0% 0-1
64% 21-12
100% 1-0
ATS
64% 21-12
100% 1-0
64% 21-12
100% 1-0
TTL
52% 17-16
100% 1-0
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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