AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
50%
DOLPHINS
50%
TIGERS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
TRINITY (FL)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (Trinity (FL))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TRINI -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TRINI)
TRINI By 1-7 points
0.0%
TRINI By 8-14 points
0.0%
JAX By 1-7 points
0.0%
JAX By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Trinity (FL)
110
TRINITY (FL)
Jacksonville
53
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
Trinity (FL)
47
TRINITY (FL)
Jacksonville
88
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
163
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
o161.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
TRINI @ JAX
45 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+39.7% more
Trinity (FL): 22.4
vs
Jacksonville: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
Trinity (FL): 66.2%
vs
Jacksonville: 59.9%
Assists (L5)
+210.9% more
Jacksonville: 13.1
vs
Trinity (FL): 4.2
Blocks (L5)
+93.7% more
Jacksonville: 2.4
vs
Trinity (FL): 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TRINI Score
110.0
45
JAX Score
53.0
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 24.6
33.0 / 5.0
Assists
13.1 / 4.2
24.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.4 / 1.3
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 28.9
59.0 / 26.0
Free Throw %
59.9 / 66.2
62.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 27.4
57.0 / 18.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.7
16.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 22.4
10.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TRINI
--
JAX
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TRINI
--
JAX
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TRINI
--
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
TRINI
JAX
TRINI
ML
74%
23-8
--
0-0
60%
18-12
--
0-0
ATS
65%
20-11
--
0-0
61%
19-12
100%
1-0
TTL
65%
20-11
--
0-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0