AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
BLUE HENS
100%
WILDCATS
--
BLUE HENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEL +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)
WILMDE By 1-7 points
26.8%
WILMDE By 8-14 points
24.3%
DEL By 1-7 points
16.9%
DEL By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Wilmington (DE)
63
WILMINGTON (DE)
Delaware
57
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
Wilmington (DE)
58
WILMINGTON (DE)
Delaware
92
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hens
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hens (+27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Blue Hens (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
WILMDE @ DEL
71 - 62
Nov 7, 2022
WILMDE @ DEL
54 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.2% more
Wilmington (DE): 18.0
vs
Delaware: 10.4
Steals (L5)
+28.1% more
Wilmington (DE): 10.0
vs
Delaware: 7.2
Blocks (L5)
+12.7% more
Wilmington (DE): 4.0
vs
Delaware: 3.5
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
Wilmington (DE): 36.0
vs
Delaware: 32.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WILMDE Score
63.0
71
DEL Score
57.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 32.0
13.0 / 24.0
Assists
14.1 / 9.0
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.0
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 34.0
37.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 55.0
83.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 36.0
43.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.2 / 10.0
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 18.0
16.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WILMDE
--
DEL
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WILMDE
--
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WILMDE
--
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
WILMDE
DEL
WILMDE
ML
45%
14-17
100%
1-0
52%
16-15
0%
0-1
ATS
61%
19-12
100%
1-0
52%
16-15
0%
0-1
TTL
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0