AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
LIONS
100%
DRAGONS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+18.0
NORTH ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNA +18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNA)
LANE By 1-7 points
10.7%
LANE By 8-14 points
21.6%
UNA By 1-7 points
2.7%
UNA By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Lane College
84
LANE COLLEGE
North Alabama
66
NORTH ALABAMA
Simulated Score
Lane College
62
LANE COLLEGE
North Alabama
85
NORTH ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dragons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +18.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
LANE @ UNA
84 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+60.8% more
Lane College: 14.0
vs
North Alabama: 5.5
Assists (L5)
+12.9% more
Lane College: 9.7
vs
North Alabama: 8.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
Lane College: 12.3
vs
North Alabama: 10.8
Rebounding (L5)
+36.2% more
North Alabama: 38.6
vs
Lane College: 28.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LANE Score
84.0
84
UNA Score
66.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 28.7
24.0 / 50.0
Assists
8.4 / 9.7
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.0
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.7 / 39.0
48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 64.0
67.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 28.3
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.5 / 14.0
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 12.3
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LANE
--
UNA
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LANE
--
UNA
Advantage
10-17-1
(37.0%)
Margin: -8.2
ATS +/-: -4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LANE
--
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNA
LANE
UNA
LANE
ML
43%
13-17
0%
0-1
57%
16-12
100%
1-0
ATS
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
57%
16-12
100%
1-0
TTL
63%
19-11
0%
0-1
100%
28-0
100%
1-0