Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Chanticleers UVAL @ CCU

VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG

DRAGONSUVAL

0-0  |  Road

44
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

1-1  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
100%
DRAGONS --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-51.0
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +51.0 points (Virginia-Lynchburg)
DragonsUVAL (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

100.0%

Chanticleers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVAL -51.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVAL)

UVAL By 1-7 points

0.0%

UVAL By 8-14 points

0.0%

CCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

CCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
37
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
52
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
98
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dragons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dragons (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 UVAL @ CCU 44 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.3% more
Virginia-Lynchburg: 14.9 vs Coastal Carolina: 11.7
Steals (L5) +16.5% more
Virginia-Lynchburg: 4.9 vs Coastal Carolina: 4.1
Assists (L5) +284.5% more
Coastal Carolina: 11.2 vs Virginia-Lynchburg: 2.9
Blocks (L5) +150.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 3.2 vs Virginia-Lynchburg: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVAL Score 88.0 44
CCU Score 37.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 15.4 41.0 / 17.0
Assists 11.2 / 2.9 28.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.2 / 1.3 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 30.2 53.0 / 19.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 66.2 67.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 24.9 81.0 / 30.0
Steals 4.1 / 4.9 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 14.9 14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVAL
--
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVAL
--
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UVAL
--
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
UVAL
CCU
UVAL
ML
41% 13-19
78% 7-2
55% 17-14
100% 9-0
ATS
38% 12-20
78% 7-2
55% 17-14
100% 9-0
TTL
75% 24-8
44% 4-5
100% 31-0
100% 9-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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