AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
BEARS
100%
COUGARS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+18.0
NORTHERN COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCO +18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCO)
COCU By 1-7 points
10.7%
COCU By 8-14 points
21.6%
UNCO By 1-7 points
2.7%
UNCO By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado Christian
92
COLORADO CHRISTIAN
Northern Colorado
74
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
Colorado Christian
61
COLORADO CHRISTIAN
Northern Colorado
88
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +18.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
COCU @ UNCO
65 - 101
Nov 12, 2024
COCU @ UNCO
56 - 113
Nov 22, 2022
COCU @ UNCO
70 - 69
Dec 9, 2020
COCU @ UNCO
62 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+30.2% more
Colorado Christian: 16.2
vs
Northern Colorado: 11.3
Blocks (L5)
+29.9% more
Colorado Christian: 1.9
vs
Northern Colorado: 1.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Colorado Christian: 75.4%
vs
Northern Colorado: 71.1%
Assists (L5)
+78.5% more
Northern Colorado: 17.1
vs
Colorado Christian: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COCU Score
92.0
65
UNCO Score
74.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.6 / 28.1
43.0 / 28.0
Assists
17.1 / 9.6
22.0 / 7.0
Blocks
1.3 / 1.9
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 41.5
54.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 75.4
81.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 31.3
40.0 / 22.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.8
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 16.2
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COCU
--
UNCO
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COCU
--
UNCO
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COCU
--
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
COCU
UNCO
COCU
ML
50%
16-16
50%
1-1
66%
21-11
100%
2-0
ATS
53%
17-15
100%
2-0
66%
21-11
100%
2-0
TTL
50%
16-16
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0