WESTERN NEW MEXICO
MUSTANGSWNMEX
0-0 | Road
70
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
2-0 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
MUSTANGS
50%
MINERS
50%
MUSTANGS
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
WESTERN NEW MEXICO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Western New Mexico)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WNMEX -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WNMEX)
WNMEX By 1-7 points
0.0%
WNMEX By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTEP By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Western New Mexico
97
WESTERN NEW MEXICO
UTEP
42
UTEP
Simulated Score
Western New Mexico
59
WESTERN NEW MEXICO
UTEP
88
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
139
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
WNMEX @ UTEP
70 - 107
Dec 4, 2023
WNMEX @ UTEP
62 - 90
Nov 9, 2021
WNMEX @ UTEP
57 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+46.1% more
Western New Mexico: 18.2
vs
UTEP: 9.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Western New Mexico: 35.9%
vs
UTEP: 33.9%
Steals (L5)
+41.2% more
UTEP: 9.6
vs
Western New Mexico: 6.8
Rebounding (L5)
+19.7% more
UTEP: 34.4
vs
Western New Mexico: 28.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WNMEX Score
97.0
70
UTEP Score
42.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 35.9
36.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.5 / 10.5
24.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.1
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 38.9
58.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 66.2
58.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 28.8
46.0 / 25.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.8
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 18.2
13.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WNMEX
--
UTEP
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WNMEX
--
UTEP
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WNMEX
--
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
WNMEX
UTEP
WNMEX
ML
70%
21-9
--
0-0
72%
21-8
--
0-0
ATS
57%
17-13
--
0-0
73%
22-8
100%
1-0
TTL
60%
18-12
--
0-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
UTEP Men's Basketball Unveils 2026-27 Schedule: Mountain West De…
SMU's Rise from NCAA Scandal to ACC Contender: A New Sheriff in …
Four Teams Set for 2026 WestStar Don Haskins Sun Bowl Invitation…
UTEP men’s basketball team hosting open practice on Thursday, Ju…
The SMU Mustangs mascot will be ready for non-conference play. M…