AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
BEARS
0%
TIGERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Central Arkansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CARK -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CARK)
CHCC By 1-7 points
0.6%
CHCC By 8-14 points
0.1%
CARK By 1-7 points
4.0%
CARK By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Champion Christian
69
CHAMPION CHRISTIAN
Central Arkansas
93
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
Champion Christian
58
CHAMPION CHRISTIAN
Central Arkansas
92
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
CHCC @ CARK
63 - 110
Jan 3, 2024
CHCC @ CARK
54 - 120
Dec 31, 2021
CHCC @ CARK
47 - 119
Dec 19, 2020
CHCC @ CARK
28 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+14.2% more
Central Arkansas: 11.1
vs
Champion Christian: 9.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.3%
Central Arkansas: 80.2%
vs
Champion Christian: 66.9%
Steals (L5)
+8.4% more
Central Arkansas: 6.3
vs
Champion Christian: 5.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Central Arkansas: 39.3%
vs
Champion Christian: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHCC Score
69.0
63
CARK Score
93.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 26.1
37.0 / 27.0
Assists
11.1 / 9.7
22.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.7 / 2.5
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.3 / 31.4
52.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 66.9
75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 29.5
57.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.8
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 18.3
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHCC
--
CARK
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHCC
--
CARK
Advantage
19-10-3
(65.5%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CHCC
--
CARK
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CARK
CHCC
CARK
CHCC
ML
67%
22-11
100%
5-0
70%
23-10
100%
5-0
ATS
61%
20-13
100%
5-0
70%
23-10
100%
5-0
TTL
50%
16-16-1
40%
2-3
100%
33-0
100%
5-0