FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
2-0 | Road
94
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
1-2 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
COUGARS
100%
OWLS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
FAU By 1-7 points
18.6%
FAU By 8-14 points
26.8%
COFC By 1-7 points
6.8%
COFC By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
82
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Charleston
69
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Charleston
72
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Owls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
FAU @ COFC
94 - 77
Nov 15, 2024
FAU @ COFC
116 - 119
Dec 2, 2023
COFC @ FAU
74 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 6.4
vs
Charleston: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+25.8% more
Florida Atlantic: 5.6
vs
Charleston: 4.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Florida Atlantic: 39.7%
vs
Charleston: 32.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Charleston: 64.8%
vs
Florida Atlantic: 62.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
82.0
94
COFC Score
69.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 39.7
38.0 / 37.0
Assists
14.7 / 15.8
10.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.5 / 6.4
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 45.1
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
64.8 / 62.8
88.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 36.8
34.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.1 / 5.6
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 10.8
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
FAU
COFC
FAU
ML
66%
19-10
64%
21-12
62%
18-11
66%
21-11
ATS
59%
17-12
70%
23-10
62%
18-11
66%
21-11
TTL
68%
19-9-1
58%
19-14
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…
Vanderbilt Basketball: Three Standout Performers from Exhibition…