AI Model Win Probability
AMBASSADORS
100%
COYOTES
0%
AMBASSADORS
--
COYOTES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
SOUTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (South Dakota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDAK -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDAK)
OCC By 1-7 points
0.0%
OCC By 8-14 points
0.0%
SDAK By 1-7 points
0.0%
SDAK By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Ozark Christian
72
OZARK CHRISTIAN
South Dakota
120
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
Ozark Christian
48
OZARK CHRISTIAN
South Dakota
92
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Coyotes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Coyotes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Coyotes (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim
Coyotes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.5
Win
Proj Total: 192.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 9, 2025
OCC @ SDAK
65 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+283.0% more
South Dakota: 3.8
vs
Ozark Christian: 1.0
Steals (L5)
+35.8% more
South Dakota: 6.3
vs
Ozark Christian: 4.7
Rebounding (L5)
+27.1% more
South Dakota: 38.0
vs
Ozark Christian: 29.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.2%
South Dakota: 71.0%
vs
Ozark Christian: 60.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OCC Score
72.0
65
SDAK Score
120.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.4 / 27.4
48.0 / 35.0
Assists
7.3 / 11.8
24.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.8 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 36.9
59.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 60.8
79.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 29.9
47.0 / 16.0
Steals
6.3 / 4.7
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 20.6
9.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OCC
--
SDAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OCC
--
SDAK
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OCC
--
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
OCC
SDAK
OCC
ML
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
63%
19-11
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
63%
19-11
100%
1-0
TTL
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0