AI Model Win Probability
SCOTS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
SCOTS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
88.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)
LYON By 1-7 points
8.0%
LYON By 8-14 points
2.2%
LT By 1-7 points
20.1%
LT By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Lyon
38
LYON
Louisiana Tech
50
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
Lyon
55
LYON
Louisiana Tech
87
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+157.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 88.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 9, 2025
LYON @ LT
35 - 93
Nov 13, 2023
LYON @ LT
43 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+123.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 6.2
vs
Lyon: 2.8
Blocks (L5)
+112.9% more
Louisiana Tech: 5.1
vs
Lyon: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+51.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 11.2
vs
Lyon: 7.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
Louisiana Tech: 34.3
vs
Lyon: 30.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LYON Score
38.0
35
LT Score
50.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 34.5
43.0 / 23.0
Assists
11.2 / 7.4
17.0 / 6.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.4
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 35.0
57.0 / 25.0
Free Throw %
68.4 / 68.7
50.0 / 17.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 30.4
52.0 / 25.0
Steals
6.2 / 2.8
15.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 21.2
13.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LYON
--
LT
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LYON
--
LT
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LYON
--
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
LYON
LT
LYON
ML
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
72%
23-9
100%
1-0
ATS
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
72%
23-9
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0