Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mighty Oaks @ Purple Aces OCU @ EVAN

OAKLAND CITY

MIGHTY OAKSOCU

0-0  |  Road

47
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 4:00 PM ET
Ford Center
View Odds Details →

EVANSVILLE

PURPLE ACESEVAN

2-1  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
MIGHTY OAKS
100%
📊
PURPLE ACES
0%
MIGHTY OAKS --
PURPLE ACES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
EVANSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Evansville)
Mighty OaksOCU (-3.5) 0 Purple AcesEVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mighty Oaks Cover

0.0%

Purple Aces Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EVAN -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EVAN)

OCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

OCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

EVAN By 1-7 points

0.0%

EVAN By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
55
OAKLAND CITY
97
EVANSVILLE
Simulated Score
55
OAKLAND CITY
88
EVANSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Purple Aces Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Purple Aces Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Purple Aces (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim Purple Aces (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 OCU @ EVAN 47 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +106.1% more
Evansville: 3.4 vs Oakland City: 1.6
Assists (L5) +80.2% more
Evansville: 14.9 vs Oakland City: 8.3
Rebounding (L5) +19.5% more
Evansville: 38.9 vs Oakland City: 32.6
Free Throw % (L5) +12.1%
Evansville: 73.4% vs Oakland City: 61.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OCU Score 55.0 47
EVAN Score 97.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 21.2 32.0 / 14.0
Assists 14.9 / 8.3 19.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.6 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 36.5 49.0 / 27.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 61.3 61.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 32.6 43.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.4 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 19.2 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OCU
--
EVAN Advantage
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OCU
--
EVAN Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
OCU
--
EVAN
16-13-1
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EVAN
OCU
EVAN
OCU
ML
56% 18-14
100% 2-0
62% 20-12
100% 2-0
ATS
66% 21-11
100% 2-0
62% 20-12
100% 2-0
TTL
62% 20-12
100% 2-0
100% 32-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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