Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Skyhawks KCU @ UTM

KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN

KNIGHTSKCU

0-0  |  Road

42
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 7:30 PM ET
Kathleen and Tom Elam Center
View Odds Details →

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

2-0  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
📊
SKYHAWKS
0%
KNIGHTS --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (UT Martin)
KnightsKCU (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksUTM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

24.2%

Skyhawks Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)

KCU By 1-7 points

15.3%

KCU By 8-14 points

5.8%

UTM By 1-7 points

26.2%

UTM By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
75
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
82
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
51
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
98
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 KCU @ UTM 42 - 97
Nov 7, 2024 KCU @ UTM 61 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +202.0% more
UT Martin: 3.0 vs Kentucky Christian: 1.0
Rebounding (L5) +43.7% more
UT Martin: 34.8 vs Kentucky Christian: 24.2
Assists (L5) +42.9% more
UT Martin: 16.3 vs Kentucky Christian: 11.4
Steals (L5) +38.5% more
UT Martin: 8.9 vs Kentucky Christian: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KCU Score 75.0 42
UTM Score 82.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 33.6 34.0 / 21.0
Assists 16.3 / 11.4 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.0 / 1.0 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 37.7 52.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 64.6 / 75.5 79.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 24.2 52.0 / 24.0
Steals 8.9 / 6.4 19.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 13.1 15.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KCU
--
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KCU
--
UTM Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
KCU
--
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
KCU
UTM
KCU
ML
69% 22-10
100% 4-0
69% 20-9
100% 4-0
ATS
56% 18-14
100% 4-0
69% 20-9
100% 4-0
TTL
44% 14-18
25% 1-3
100% 29-0
100% 4-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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