AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN TORNADOES
0%
COLONIALS
100%
GOLDEN TORNADOES
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+25.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RMU +25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)
GEN By 1-7 points
3.3%
GEN By 8-14 points
10.7%
RMU By 1-7 points
0.5%
RMU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Geneva
109
GENEVA
Robert Morris
84
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
Geneva
52
GENEVA
Robert Morris
88
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Tornadoes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonials
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonials (+33.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +25.0
D
Sim
Colonials (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
GEN @ RMU
47 - 93
Nov 27, 2019
GEN @ RMU
62 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+60.5% more
Geneva: 13.0
vs
Robert Morris: 5.1
Turnovers (L5)
+47.4% more
Geneva: 29.0
vs
Robert Morris: 15.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Geneva: 51.0%
vs
Robert Morris: 46.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+72.5% more
Robert Morris: 38.0
vs
Geneva: 22.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GEN Score
109.0
47
RMU Score
84.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 30.0
32.0 / 35.0
Assists
17.8 / 11.0
22.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.0
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 51.0
51.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 20.0
73.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 22.0
43.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.1 / 13.0
14.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 29.0
10.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GEN
--
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GEN
--
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GEN
--
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
GEN
RMU
GEN
ML
36%
12-21
0%
0-1
56%
18-14
100%
1-0
ATS
55%
18-15
100%
1-0
56%
18-14
100%
1-0
TTL
55%
18-15
0%
0-1
100%
32-0
100%
1-0