SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
KNIGHTSSOUTH
0-0 | Road
63
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
WILDCATSACU
3-0 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Abilene Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ACU -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ACU)
SOUTH By 1-7 points
0.0%
SOUTH By 8-14 points
0.0%
ACU By 1-7 points
0.0%
ACU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Southwestern Adventist
41
SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
Abilene Christian
88
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
Southwestern Adventist
52
SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
Abilene Christian
98
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+36)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.0
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u162.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
SOUTH @ ACU
63 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+78.6% more
Abilene Christian: 40.2
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 22.5
Blocks (L5)
+72.0% more
Abilene Christian: 4.3
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+57.2% more
Abilene Christian: 16.2
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+45.9% more
Abilene Christian: 8.4
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SOUTH Score
41.0
63
ACU Score
88.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.9 / 33.4
41.0 / 27.0
Assists
16.2 / 10.3
26.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.5
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 33.7
63.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 78.8
75.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
40.2 / 22.5
36.0 / 19.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.7
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 21.6
11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOUTH
--
ACU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.1
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOUTH
--
ACU
Advantage
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -2.1
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SOUTH
--
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ACU
SOUTH
ACU
SOUTH
ML
67%
22-11
100%
3-0
70%
23-10
100%
3-0
ATS
55%
18-15
100%
3-0
70%
23-10
100%
3-0
TTL
58%
19-14
67%
2-1
100%
33-0
100%
3-0
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