CATAWBA
CHIEFSCAT
0-0 | Road
62
GEORGE MASON
PATRIOTSGMU
3-0 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
CHIEFS
100%
PATRIOTS
0%
CHIEFS
--
PATRIOTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
GEORGE MASON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (George Mason)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GMU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GMU)
CAT By 1-7 points
6.8%
CAT By 8-14 points
1.7%
GMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
GMU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Catawba
43
CATAWBA
George Mason
56
GEORGE MASON
Simulated Score
Catawba
60
CATAWBA
George Mason
88
GEORGE MASON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Patriots
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Patriots
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Patriots (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Patriots (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
CAT @ GMU
62 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+200.0% more
George Mason: 3.0
vs
Catawba: 1.0
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
George Mason: 12.2
vs
Catawba: 10.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
George Mason: 38.1%
vs
Catawba: 26.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.8%
George Mason: 45.8%
vs
Catawba: 36.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAT Score
43.0
62
GMU Score
56.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 26.0
88.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.2 / 10.0
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.0
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 36.0
61.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 68.0
88.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 36.0
34.0 / 16.0
Steals
5.5 / 7.0
7.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 15.0
21.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAT
--
GMU
Advantage
23-10-0
(69.7%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAT
--
GMU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CAT
--
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GMU
CAT
GMU
CAT
ML
55%
18-15
100%
1-0
73%
24-9
100%
1-0
ATS
55%
18-15
100%
1-0
73%
24-9
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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