Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ambassadors @ Tigers OAKWO @ TNST

OAKWOOD

AMBASSADORSOAKWO

0-0  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Gentry Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE STATE

TIGERSTNST

2-1  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
AMBASSADORS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
AMBASSADORS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-73.0
TENNESSEE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +73.0 points (Tennessee State)
AmbassadorsOAKWO (-3.5) 0 TigersTNST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ambassadors Cover

0.0%

Tigers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TNST -73.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TNST)

OAKWO By 1-7 points

0.0%

OAKWO By 8-14 points

0.0%

TNST By 1-7 points

0.0%

TNST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
46
OAKWOOD
119
TENNESSEE STATE
Simulated Score
53
OAKWOOD
92
TENNESSEE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -73.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 OAKWO @ TNST 76 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +80.0% more
Tennessee State: 3.6 vs Oakwood: 2.0
Rebounding (L5) +47.2% more
Tennessee State: 44.5 vs Oakwood: 30.2
Assists (L5) +26.0% more
Tennessee State: 12.8 vs Oakwood: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5) +11.8%
Tennessee State: 75.8% vs Oakwood: 63.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAKWO Score 46.0 76
TNST Score 119.0 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 23.6 36.0 / 36.0
Assists 12.8 / 10.2 24.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.0 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 35.7 57.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 63.9 85.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 44.5 / 30.2 50.0 / 29.0
Steals 10.0 / 9.4 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 19.2 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAKWO
--
TNST Advantage
23-10-0 (69.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAKWO
--
TNST Advantage
18-11-1 (62.1%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
OAKWO
--
TNST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNST
OAKWO
TNST
OAKWO
ML
52% 16-15
100% 3-0
63% 17-10
100% 3-0
ATS
68% 21-10
100% 3-0
64% 18-10
100% 3-0
TTL
52% 16-15
67% 2-1
100% 28-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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