Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Comets @ Fighting Hawks MYSU @ UND

MAYVILLE ST

COMETSMYSU

0-0  |  Road

58
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Betty Engelstad Sioux Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

1-3  |  Home

128
AI Model Win Probability
COMETS
100%
📊
FIGHTING HAWKS
0%
COMETS --
FIGHTING HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NORTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (North Dakota)
CometsMYSU (-3.5) 0 Fighting HawksUND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Comets Cover

34.5%

Fighting Hawks Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UND -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UND)

MYSU By 1-7 points

20.1%

MYSU By 8-14 points

9.3%

UND By 1-7 points

27.4%

UND By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
79
MAYVILLE ST
83
NORTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
55
MAYVILLE ST
88
NORTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Hawks (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Fighting Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 MYSU @ UND 58 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +179.0% more
North Dakota: 2.7 vs Mayville St: 0.9
Steals (L5) +106.5% more
North Dakota: 8.9 vs Mayville St: 4.3
Assists (L5) +30.6% more
North Dakota: 14.8 vs Mayville St: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
North Dakota: 45.2% vs Mayville St: 38.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MYSU Score 79.0 58
UND Score 83.0 128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 30.3 52.0 / 20.0
Assists 14.8 / 11.3 21.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.7 / 0.9 7.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 38.0 60.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 61.4 / 59.4 95.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 30.3 51.0 / 18.0
Steals 8.9 / 4.3 21.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 15.2 11.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MYSU
--
UND Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MYSU
--
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MYSU
--
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UND
MYSU
UND
MYSU
ML
44% 15-19
100% 1-0
50% 17-17
100% 1-0
ATS
50% 17-17
100% 1-0
50% 17-17
100% 1-0
TTL
65% 22-12
100% 1-0
100% 34-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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