AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
KNIGHTS
0%
PANTHERS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
BELLARMINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Bellarmine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BELL -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BELL)
HANOVER By 1-7 points
0.1%
HANOVER By 8-14 points
0.0%
BELL By 1-7 points
0.6%
BELL By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Hanover
55
HANOVER
Bellarmine
87
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
Hanover
52
HANOVER
Bellarmine
88
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knights (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
HANOVER @ BELL
55 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+89.6% more
Bellarmine: 13.3
vs
Hanover: 7.0
Steals (L5)
+71.6% more
Bellarmine: 8.6
vs
Hanover: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+24.2% more
Bellarmine: 13.7
vs
Hanover: 11.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+18.7%
Bellarmine: 45.7%
vs
Hanover: 27.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HANOVER Score
55.0
55
BELL Score
87.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 29.0
44.0 / 26.0
Assists
13.3 / 7.0
18.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 27.0
57.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 78.0
80.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
25.8 / 33.0
40.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.6 / 5.0
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 11.0
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HANOVER
--
BELL
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HANOVER
--
BELL
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HANOVER
--
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
HANOVER
BELL
HANOVER
ML
72%
23-9
100%
1-0
94%
29-2
100%
1-0
ATS
72%
23-9
100%
1-0
94%
29-2
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
16-16
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0