BOB JONES
BRUINSBOBJ
0-0 | Road
53
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
3-1 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
SPARTANS
0%
BRUINS
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (South Carolina Upstate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UPST -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UPST)
BOBJ By 1-7 points
18.6%
BOBJ By 8-14 points
8.0%
UPST By 1-7 points
27.2%
UPST By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bob Jones
76
BOB JONES
South Carolina Upstate
81
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Simulated Score
Bob Jones
55
BOB JONES
South Carolina Upstate
88
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
BOBJ @ UPST
53 - 114
Dec 21, 2019
BOBJ @ UPST
74 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+82.8% more
South Carolina Upstate: 39.6
vs
Bob Jones: 21.7
Blocks (L5)
+58.6% more
South Carolina Upstate: 3.9
vs
Bob Jones: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+35.4% more
South Carolina Upstate: 13.2
vs
Bob Jones: 9.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.6%
South Carolina Upstate: 46.3%
vs
Bob Jones: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOBJ Score
76.0
53
UPST Score
81.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 27.7
50.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.2 / 9.8
26.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.4
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 32.6
62.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
69.0 / 71.5
68.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 21.7
53.0 / 23.0
Steals
10.4 / 9.4
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 15.5
13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOBJ
--
UPST
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOBJ
--
UPST
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BOBJ
--
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UPST
BOBJ
UPST
BOBJ
ML
61%
19-12
100%
3-0
83%
25-5
100%
3-0
ATS
61%
19-12
100%
3-0
83%
25-5
100%
3-0
TTL
52%
16-15
100%
3-0
100%
30-0
100%
3-0
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