ELIZABETH CITY STATE
VIKINGSECSU
0-0 | Road
70
EAST CAROLINA
PIRATESECU
2-1 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
PIRATES
100%
VIKINGS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ELIZABETH CITY STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Elizabeth City State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ECSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECSU)
ECSU By 1-7 points
26.2%
ECSU By 8-14 points
16.9%
ECU By 1-7 points
24.3%
ECU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Elizabeth City State
86
ELIZABETH CITY STATE
East Carolina
85
EAST CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Elizabeth City State
55
ELIZABETH CITY STATE
East Carolina
85
EAST CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vikings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vikings (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
ECSU @ ECU
70 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Elizabeth City State: 13.7
vs
East Carolina: 11.4
Steals (L5)
+9.9% more
Elizabeth City State: 7.0
vs
East Carolina: 6.3
Blocks (L5)
+163.2% more
East Carolina: 3.5
vs
Elizabeth City State: 1.3
Assists (L5)
+32.7% more
East Carolina: 13.3
vs
Elizabeth City State: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECSU Score
86.0
70
ECU Score
85.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.5 / 14.0
15.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.3 / 10.0
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 36.3
43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 66.3
83.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 36.0
46.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.0
4.0 / 18.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 13.7
20.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECSU
--
ECU
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECSU
--
ECU
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ECSU
--
ECU
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ECU
ECSU
ECU
ECSU
ML
55%
17-14
0%
0-1
55%
17-14
100%
1-0
ATS
52%
16-15
0%
0-1
55%
17-14
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
19-12
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
Kansas Basketball Secures Melvin Council Jr. for Unprecedented S…
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…