UIC
FLAMESUIC
3-1 | Road
67
CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
0-4 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
COUGARS
100%
FLAMES
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UIC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
UIC By 1-7 points
24.3%
UIC By 8-14 points
26.8%
CHST By 1-7 points
12.2%
CHST By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
73
UIC
Chicago State
64
CHICAGO STATE
Simulated Score
UIC
65
UIC
Chicago State
72
CHICAGO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
UIC @ CHST
67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.8% more
UIC: 3.8
vs
Chicago State: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+39.3% more
UIC: 18.4
vs
Chicago State: 11.2
Steals (L5)
+30.7% more
UIC: 11.5
vs
Chicago State: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+14.7% more
UIC: 33.0
vs
Chicago State: 28.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
73.0
67
CHST Score
64.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 44.0
25.0 / 11.0
Assists
11.2 / 18.4
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.6 / 3.8
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 49.0
41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 76.2
75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
28.1 / 33.0
29.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.0 / 11.5
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 13.6
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
CHST
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHST
UIC
CHST
UIC
ML
75%
24-8
57%
20-15
73%
22-8
44%
15-19
ATS
69%
22-10
54%
19-16
73%
22-8
44%
15-19
TTL
44%
14-18
60%
21-14
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
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