CENTRAL PENN
KNIGHTSCPC
0-0 | Road
50
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
EAGLESAMER
2-2 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
EAGLES
0%
KNIGHTS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-71.0
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +71.0 points (American University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMER -71.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMER)
CPC By 1-7 points
0.0%
CPC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AMER By 1-7 points
0.0%
AMER By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Penn
40
CENTRAL PENN
American University
111
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Central Penn
55
CENTRAL PENN
American University
92
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -71.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
CPC @ AMER
50 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+161.0% more
American University: 2.4
vs
Central Penn: 0.8
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
American University: 12.7
vs
Central Penn: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.9%
American University: 64.9%
vs
Central Penn: 48.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
American University: 46.2%
vs
Central Penn: 37.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CPC Score
40.0
50
AMER Score
111.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 25.5
28.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.7 / 9.8
26.0 / 4.0
Blocks
2.4 / 0.8
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 37.5
55.0 / 25.0
Free Throw %
64.9 / 48.0
69.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
28.6 / 29.1
55.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.7
16.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 19.4
15.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CPC
--
AMER
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CPC
--
AMER
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CPC
--
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
CPC
AMER
CPC
ML
62%
20-12
33%
1-2
62%
20-12
100%
3-0
ATS
59%
19-13
33%
1-2
62%
20-12
100%
3-0
TTL
59%
19-13
67%
2-1
100%
32-0
100%
3-0
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