Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Jaguars CHCC @ SOU

CHAMPION CHRISTIAN

TIGERSCHCC

0-0  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 7:30 PM ET
F.G. Clark Activity Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN

JAGUARSSOU

2-2  |  Home

129
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
JAGUARS
0%
TIGERS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Southern)
TigersCHCC (-3.5) 0 JaguarsSOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

0.0%

Jaguars Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SOU -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SOU)

CHCC By 1-7 points

0.0%

CHCC By 8-14 points

0.0%

SOU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SOU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
49
CHAMPION CHRISTIAN
99
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
48
CHAMPION CHRISTIAN
95
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaguars (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 CHCC @ SOU 64 - 129
Nov 25, 2024 CHCC @ SOU 58 - 121
Dec 12, 2023 CHCC @ SOU 61 - 109
Nov 28, 2022 CHCC @ SOU 52 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +81.9% more
Southern: 12.5 vs Champion Christian: 6.9
Assists (L5) +46.0% more
Southern: 16.3 vs Champion Christian: 11.1
Rebounding (L5) +36.2% more
Southern: 39.9 vs Champion Christian: 29.3
Field Goal % (L5) +14.4%
Southern: 46.7% vs Champion Christian: 32.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHCC Score 49.0 64
SOU Score 99.0 129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 26.4 46.0 / 20.0
Assists 16.3 / 11.1 31.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.0 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 32.3 66.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 69.6 78.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 29.3 46.0 / 32.0
Steals 12.5 / 6.9 19.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 17.5 12.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHCC
--
SOU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHCC
--
SOU Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHCC
--
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
CHCC
SOU
CHCC
ML
67% 22-11
100% 5-0
70% 21-9
100% 5-0
ATS
64% 21-12
100% 5-0
70% 21-9
100% 5-0
TTL
42% 14-19
40% 2-3
100% 30-0
100% 5-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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