Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Panthers TIF @ EIU

TIFFIN

DRAGONSTIF

0-0  |  Road

50
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Groniger Arena
View Odds Details →

EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

2-3  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
DRAGONS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
TIFFIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Tiffin)
DragonsTIF (-3.5) 0 PanthersEIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

84.1%

Panthers Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TIF -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TIF)

TIF By 1-7 points

23.0%

TIF By 8-14 points

27.2%

EIU By 1-7 points

10.7%

EIU By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
84
TIFFIN
74
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
59
TIFFIN
78
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dragons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dragons (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 TIF @ EIU 50 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +10.8% more
Tiffin: 32.0 vs Eastern Illinois: 28.6
Blocks (L5) +211.0% more
Eastern Illinois: 3.1 vs Tiffin: 1.0
Assists (L5) +22.8% more
Eastern Illinois: 10.2 vs Tiffin: 8.3
Turnovers (L5) +18.6% more
Eastern Illinois: 13.1 vs Tiffin: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TIF Score 84.0 50
EIU Score 74.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 29.3 27.0 / 35.0
Assists 10.2 / 8.3 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.1 / 1.0 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 37.0 / 38.3 49.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 62.0 47.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 28.6 / 32.0 38.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.7 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 11.0 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TIF
--
EIU Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TIF
--
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TIF
--
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
TIF
EIU
TIF
ML
56% 18-14
0% 0-1
74% 23-8
100% 1-0
ATS
50% 16-16
0% 0-1
74% 23-8
100% 1-0
TTL
69% 22-10
100% 1-0
100% 31-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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