NOBEL
KNIGHTSNOB
0-0 | Road
55
MONTANA STATE
BOBCATSMTST
2-4 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
MONTANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Montana State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MTST -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTST)
NOB By 1-7 points
0.0%
NOB By 8-14 points
0.0%
MTST By 1-7 points
0.1%
MTST By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Nobel
53
NOBEL
Montana State
90
MONTANA STATE
Simulated Score
Nobel
72
NOBEL
Montana State
78
MONTANA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
NOB @ MTST
55 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.5% more
Montana State: 2.2
vs
Nobel: 1.4
Assists (L5)
+31.5% more
Montana State: 9.9
vs
Nobel: 7.5
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Montana State: 32.4
vs
Nobel: 27.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.0%
Montana State: 45.9%
vs
Nobel: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NOB Score
53.0
55
MTST Score
90.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 25.4
48.0 / 30.0
Assists
9.9 / 7.5
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.4
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 33.9
60.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
62.3 / 70.5
83.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 27.6
31.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.1
9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 18.4
10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NOB
--
MTST
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 6.5
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NOB
--
MTST
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.5
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NOB
--
MTST
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTST
NOB
MTST
NOB
ML
52%
16-15
100%
6-0
67%
20-10
100%
6-0
ATS
52%
16-15
100%
6-0
67%
20-10
100%
6-0
TTL
65%
20-11
67%
4-2
100%
30-0
100%
6-0
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