AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
HORNETS
0%
COUGARS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Delaware State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DSU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)
KEAN By 1-7 points
0.2%
KEAN By 8-14 points
0.0%
DSU By 1-7 points
1.7%
DSU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Kean
64
KEAN
Delaware State
92
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
Kean
52
KEAN
Delaware State
85
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
KEAN @ DSU
64 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Delaware State: 12.8
vs
Kean: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Delaware State: 33.6
vs
Kean: 30.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Delaware State: 70.6%
vs
Kean: 68.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Delaware State: 42.1%
vs
Kean: 40.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KEAN Score
64.0
64
DSU Score
92.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 34.3
29.0 / 39.0
Assists
12.8 / 11.1
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.0 / 4.0
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 40.2
41.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 68.5
54.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 30.4
34.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.7 / 8.7
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 18.0
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KEAN
--
DSU
Advantage
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KEAN
--
DSU
Advantage
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KEAN
--
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
KEAN
DSU
KEAN
ML
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
75%
18-6
100%
1-0
ATS
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
72%
18-7
100%
1-0
TTL
57%
17-13
100%
1-0
100%
25-0
100%
1-0