KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
1-5 | Road
67
LINDENWOOD
LIONSLIN
3-4 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
100%
LIONS
0%
ROOS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
LINDENWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Lindenwood)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIN)
KC By 1-7 points
5.8%
KC By 8-14 points
1.4%
LIN By 1-7 points
16.9%
LIN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
35
KANSAS CITY
Lindenwood
49
LINDENWOOD
Simulated Score
Kansas City
71
KANSAS CITY
Lindenwood
74
LINDENWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.0
Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim
u152.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
KC @ LIN
67 - 80
Dec 9, 2023
KC @ LIN
72 - 67
Dec 3, 2022
LIN @ KC
47 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+146.9% more
Lindenwood: 4.0
vs
Kansas City: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+36.8% more
Lindenwood: 7.8
vs
Kansas City: 5.7
Assists (L5)
+19.3% more
Lindenwood: 12.0
vs
Kansas City: 10.1
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Lindenwood: 40.5
vs
Kansas City: 36.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
35.0
67
LIN Score
49.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.1 / 21.9
32.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.0 / 10.1
22.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.0 / 1.6
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
37.8 / 35.5
46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 68.3
74.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 36.1
38.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.8 / 5.7
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 13.5
14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
LIN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
LIN
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIN
KC
LIN
KC
ML
47%
15-17
63%
19-11
61%
19-12
67%
20-10
ATS
34%
11-21
67%
20-10
61%
19-12
67%
20-10
TTL
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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