Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Firehawks @ Lions UTSOU @ UNA

TENNESSEE SOUTHERN

FIREHAWKSUTSOU

0-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 1:00 PM ET
Flowers Hall
View Odds Details →

NORTH ALABAMA

LIONSUNA

3-4  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
FIREHAWKS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
FIREHAWKS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
NORTH ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (North Alabama)
FirehawksUTSOU (-3.5) 0 LionsUNA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Firehawks Cover

0.3%

Lions Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNA -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNA)

UTSOU By 1-7 points

0.2%

UTSOU By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNA By 1-7 points

1.7%

UNA By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
58
TENNESSEE SOUTHERN
86
NORTH ALABAMA
Simulated Score
58
TENNESSEE SOUTHERN
92
NORTH ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 UTSOU @ UNA 60 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.0% more
North Alabama: 3.4 vs Tennessee Southern: 2.3
Assists (L5) +28.4% more
Tennessee Southern: 13.8 vs North Alabama: 9.9
Turnovers (L5) +23.3% more
Tennessee Southern: 14.5 vs North Alabama: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.6%
Tennessee Southern: 69.1% vs North Alabama: 64.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTSOU Score 58.0 60
UNA Score 86.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 35.8 35.0 / 42.0
Assists 9.9 / 13.8 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.3 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 41.1 55.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 64.4 / 69.1 87.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 31.6 37.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.9 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 14.5 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTSOU
--
UNA Advantage
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTSOU
--
UNA Advantage
10-17-1 (37.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTSOU
--
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNA
UTSOU
UNA
UTSOU
ML
43% 13-17
100% 1-0
57% 16-12
100% 1-0
ATS
60% 18-12
100% 1-0
57% 16-12
100% 1-0
TTL
63% 19-11
100% 1-0
100% 28-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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