Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Longhorns @ Silverswords TEX @ CHAM

TEXAS

LONGHORNSTEX

5-2  |  Road

119
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 11:05 PM ET
Lahaina Civic Center
View Odds Details →

CHAMINADE

SILVERSWORDSCHAM

0-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
100%
📊
SILVERSWORDS
0%
LONGHORNS --
SILVERSWORDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
93.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
CHAMINADE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Chaminade)
LonghornsTEX (-3.5) 0 SilverswordsCHAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Longhorns Cover

13.6%

Silverswords Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHAM -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHAM)

TEX By 1-7 points

9.3%

TEX By 8-14 points

2.7%

CHAM By 1-7 points

21.6%

CHAM By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
41
TEXAS
52
CHAMINADE
Simulated Score
58
TEXAS
92
CHAMINADE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Silverswords Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Silverswords Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Silverswords (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Silverswords (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 93.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 TEX @ CHAM 119 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +61.4% more
Chaminade: 9.1 vs Texas: 5.7
Turnovers (L5) +16.8% more
Chaminade: 13.4 vs Texas: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5) +2.0%
Chaminade: 70.7% vs Texas: 68.7%
Blocks (L5) +58.4% more
Texas: 3.9 vs Chaminade: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 41.0 119
CHAM Score 52.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.2 / 31.2 36.0 / 46.0
Assists 11.8 / 13.0 9.0 / 25.0
Blocks 1.6 / 3.9 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 38.3 / 50.3 37.0 / 66.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 68.7 67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 26.7 / 40.5 20.0 / 59.0
Steals 9.1 / 5.7 18.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 11.5 15.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
21-15-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +0.6
CHAM
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +0.6
CHAM
--
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.6
CHAM
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHAM
TEX
CHAM
TEX
ML
67% 2-1
58% 21-15
67% 2-1
56% 19-15
ATS
67% 2-1
56% 20-16
67% 2-1
56% 19-15
TTL
100% 3-0
64% 23-13
100% 3-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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