AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
BIG RED
0%
COUGARS
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
198.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COR -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
MISE By 1-7 points
1.1%
MISE By 8-14 points
0.1%
COR By 1-7 points
5.8%
COR By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Misericordia
88
MISERICORDIA
Cornell
110
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Misericordia
55
MISERICORDIA
Cornell
90
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Red
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 198.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
MISE @ COR
70 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+74.3% more
Cornell: 19.7
vs
Misericordia: 11.3
Rebounding (L5)
+44.3% more
Cornell: 39.1
vs
Misericordia: 27.1
Blocks (L5)
+13.7% more
Cornell: 2.9
vs
Misericordia: 2.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.0%
Cornell: 47.4%
vs
Misericordia: 38.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MISE Score
88.0
70
COR Score
110.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 32.4
43.0 / 43.0
Assists
19.7 / 11.3
35.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.6
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 38.4
53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
72.7 / 68.4
91.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 27.1
48.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.8 / 5.9
11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 14.0
16.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MISE
--
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MISE
--
COR
Advantage
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MISE
--
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
MISE
COR
MISE
ML
44%
12-15
100%
2-0
63%
17-10
100%
2-0
ATS
59%
16-11
100%
2-0
63%
17-10
100%
2-0
TTL
78%
21-6
100%
2-0
100%
27-0
100%
2-0