AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
0%
SILVERSWORDS
100%
BRONCOS
--
SILVERSWORDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
BOISE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Boise State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOIS -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOIS)
BOIS By 1-7 points
0.0%
BOIS By 8-14 points
0.0%
CHAM By 1-7 points
0.0%
CHAM By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boise State
110
BOISE STATE
Chaminade
62
CHAMINADE
Simulated Score
Boise State
85
BOISE STATE
Chaminade
62
CHAMINADE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim
Broncos (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
BOIS @ CHAM
102 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+34.9% more
Boise State: 1.7
vs
Chaminade: 1.1
Rebounding (L5)
+32.7% more
Boise State: 36.3
vs
Chaminade: 24.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.8%
Boise State: 76.2%
vs
Chaminade: 69.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Boise State: 32.2%
vs
Chaminade: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOIS Score
110.0
102
CHAM Score
62.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 32.2
42.0 / 37.0
Assists
10.9 / 11.5
14.0 / 21.0
Blocks
1.1 / 1.7
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
37.9 / 38.7
41.0 / 61.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 76.2
65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
24.4 / 36.3
20.0 / 50.0
Steals
12.1 / 4.0
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 13.2
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOIS
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHAM
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOIS
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHAM
--
⚖️ Over/Under
BOIS
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.8
CHAM
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHAM
BOIS
CHAM
BOIS
ML
67%
2-1
50%
16-16
67%
2-1
61%
19-12
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
16-16
67%
2-1
61%
19-12
TTL
100%
3-0
56%
18-14
100%
3-0
100%
31-0