MISSOURI BAPTIST
SPARTANSMOBU
0-0 | Road
55
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
5-3 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
COUGARS
0%
SPARTANS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIUE -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)
MOBU By 1-7 points
0.0%
MOBU By 8-14 points
0.0%
SIUE By 1-7 points
0.1%
SIUE By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Missouri Baptist
62
MISSOURI BAPTIST
SIU Edwardsville
102
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
Missouri Baptist
62
MISSOURI BAPTIST
SIU Edwardsville
88
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
MOBU @ SIUE
55 - 92
Nov 28, 2023
MOBU @ SIUE
62 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+336.9% more
SIU Edwardsville: 4.9
vs
Missouri Baptist: 1.1
Rebounding (L5)
+14.8% more
SIU Edwardsville: 37.9
vs
Missouri Baptist: 33.0
Assists (L5)
+12.2% more
SIU Edwardsville: 11.5
vs
Missouri Baptist: 10.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.4%
SIU Edwardsville: 31.5%
vs
Missouri Baptist: 21.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MOBU Score
62.0
55
SIUE Score
102.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 21.0
29.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.5 / 10.3
16.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.9 / 1.1
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 41.2
54.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 63.0
70.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 33.0
46.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.9
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 14.9
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MOBU
--
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MOBU
--
SIUE
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MOBU
--
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
MOBU
SIUE
MOBU
ML
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
ATS
55%
17-14
100%
1-0
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
TTL
48%
15-16
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
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