AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
GATORS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Radford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)
NDMD By 1-7 points
0.0%
NDMD By 8-14 points
0.0%
RAD By 1-7 points
0.0%
RAD By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Notre Dame (MD)
50
NOTRE DAME (MD)
Radford
97
RADFORD
Simulated Score
Notre Dame (MD)
47
NOTRE DAME (MD)
Radford
98
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
NDMD @ RAD
75 - 102
Nov 26, 2023
NDMD @ RAD
53 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+67.4% more
Radford: 3.0
vs
Notre Dame (MD): 1.8
Assists (L5)
+47.4% more
Radford: 10.5
vs
Notre Dame (MD): 7.1
Rebounding (L5)
+23.3% more
Radford: 32.4
vs
Notre Dame (MD): 26.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.3%
Radford: 29.5%
vs
Notre Dame (MD): 16.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NDMD Score
50.0
75
RAD Score
97.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 16.3
42.0 / 42.0
Assists
10.5 / 7.1
27.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.8
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
36.9 / 32.2
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 78.6
57.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 26.3
48.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.3 / 10.5
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 14.4
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDMD
--
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDMD
--
RAD
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NDMD
--
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
NDMD
RAD
NDMD
ML
77%
23-7
100%
2-0
76%
22-7
50%
1-1
ATS
63%
19-11
100%
2-0
77%
23-7
50%
1-1
TTL
67%
20-10
100%
2-0
100%
30-0
100%
2-0