Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Devils @ Sycamores ERKA @ INST

EUREKA

RED DEVILSERKA

0-0  |  Road

57
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Hulman Center
View Odds Details →

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

5-4  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
RED DEVILS
100%
📊
SYCAMORES
0%
RED DEVILS --
SYCAMORES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
INDIANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Indiana State)
Red DevilsERKA (-3.5) 0 SycamoresINST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Devils Cover

0.3%

Sycamores Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around INST -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (INST)

ERKA By 1-7 points

0.2%

ERKA By 8-14 points

0.0%

INST By 1-7 points

1.7%

INST By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
52
EUREKA
80
INDIANA STATE
Simulated Score
49
EUREKA
108
INDIANA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sycamores Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sycamores Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sycamores (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Sycamores (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -59.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 ERKA @ INST 57 - 99
Nov 7, 2024 ERKA @ INST 48 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +118.0% more
Indiana State: 2.2 vs Eureka: 1.0
Assists (L5) +64.2% more
Indiana State: 15.2 vs Eureka: 9.3
Steals (L5) +37.3% more
Indiana State: 8.5 vs Eureka: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5) +14.2%
Indiana State: 82.4% vs Eureka: 68.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ERKA Score 52.0 57
INST Score 80.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.6 / 20.3 44.0 / 36.0
Assists 15.2 / 9.3 26.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.2 / 1.0 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 31.3 58.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 82.4 / 68.2 56.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 31.2 50.0 / 23.0
Steals 8.5 / 6.2 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 19.3 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ERKA
--
INST Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ERKA
--
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ERKA
--
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
INST
ERKA
INST
ERKA
ML
66% 21-11
100% 2-0
53% 17-15
100% 2-0
ATS
62% 20-12
100% 2-0
53% 17-15
100% 2-0
TTL
53% 17-15
50% 1-1
100% 32-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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