VERMONT STATE - JOHNSON
BADGERSVTSJ
0-0 | Road
57
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
4-5 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
100%
TERRIERS
0%
BADGERS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
VTSJ By 1-7 points
0.0%
VTSJ By 8-14 points
0.0%
BU By 1-7 points
0.1%
BU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont State - Johnson
53
VERMONT STATE - JOHNSON
Boston University
90
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Vermont State - Johnson
48
VERMONT STATE - JOHNSON
Boston University
92
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
VTSJ @ BU
57 - 104
Nov 26, 2023
VTSJ @ BU
49 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+213.8% more
Boston University: 3.6
vs
Vermont State - Johnson: 1.2
Assists (L5)
+40.9% more
Boston University: 15.3
vs
Vermont State - Johnson: 10.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.8%
Boston University: 68.6%
vs
Vermont State - Johnson: 48.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+17.9%
Boston University: 53.4%
vs
Vermont State - Johnson: 35.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VTSJ Score
53.0
57
BU Score
90.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 29.6
52.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.3 / 10.9
18.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.2
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.4 / 35.5
63.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 48.8
60.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
26.6 / 28.7
37.0 / 22.0
Steals
4.8 / 4.2
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 15.1
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VTSJ
--
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VTSJ
--
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
VTSJ
--
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BU
VTSJ
BU
VTSJ
ML
68%
23-11
100%
3-0
62%
21-13
100%
3-0
ATS
62%
21-13
100%
3-0
62%
21-13
100%
3-0
TTL
65%
22-12
67%
2-1
100%
34-0
100%
3-0
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