Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Knights MIDW @ BELL

MIDWAY UNIVERSITY

EAGLESMIDW

0-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Knights Hall
View Odds Details →

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

4-4  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
EAGLES --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
BELLARMINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Bellarmine)
EaglesMIDW (-3.5) 0 KnightsBELL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.0%

Knights Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BELL -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BELL)

MIDW By 1-7 points

0.0%

MIDW By 8-14 points

0.0%

BELL By 1-7 points

0.4%

BELL By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
63
MIDWAY UNIVERSITY
97
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
60
MIDWAY UNIVERSITY
85
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 MIDW @ BELL 60 - 99
Nov 26, 2024 MIDW @ BELL 60 - 101
Nov 21, 2023 MIDW @ BELL 56 - 77
Dec 10, 2021 MIDW @ BELL 39 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +15.7%
Bellarmine: 77.2% vs Midway University: 61.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +13.9%
Bellarmine: 53.9% vs Midway University: 40.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
Bellarmine: 38.6% vs Midway University: 30.8%
Turnovers (L5) +38.6% more
Midway University: 16.6 vs Bellarmine: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIDW Score 63.0 60
BELL Score 97.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 30.8 36.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.3 / 12.6 21.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.9 / 2.9 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 53.9 / 40.1 60.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 61.6 94.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 25.0 / 29.1 38.0 / 21.0
Steals 6.7 / 6.7 12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 16.6 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIDW
--
BELL Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIDW
--
BELL Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MIDW
--
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
MIDW
BELL
MIDW
ML
72% 23-9
75% 3-1
94% 29-2
100% 4-0
ATS
72% 23-9
75% 3-1
94% 29-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 16-16
25% 1-3
100% 31-0
100% 4-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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