AI Model Win Probability
LOGGERS
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
LOGGERS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEA -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
PUG By 1-7 points
0.0%
PUG By 8-14 points
0.0%
SEA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SEA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Puget Sound
47
PUGET SOUND
Seattle U
95
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
Puget Sound
54
PUGET SOUND
Seattle U
88
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
PUG @ SEA
43 - 97
Nov 9, 2022
PUG @ SEA
55 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+130.5% more
Seattle U: 4.6
vs
Puget Sound: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+26.0% more
Seattle U: 8.8
vs
Puget Sound: 7.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.8%
Seattle U: 53.2%
vs
Puget Sound: 38.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Seattle U: 36.3%
vs
Puget Sound: 30.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PUG Score
47.0
43
SEA Score
95.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 30.0
26.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.8 / 16.7
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.0
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
53.2 / 38.3
49.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 71.3
65.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
26.0 / 35.0
56.0 / 22.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.0
14.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 29.3
9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PUG
--
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PUG
--
SEA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PUG
--
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
PUG
SEA
PUG
ML
46%
16-19
100%
1-0
71%
24-10
100%
1-0
ATS
57%
20-15
100%
1-0
71%
24-10
100%
1-0
TTL
49%
17-18
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0