AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
100%
KNIGHTS
0%
BLUE JAYS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
185.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
MANR By 1-7 points
0.0%
MANR By 8-14 points
0.0%
FDU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FDU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Manor College
70
MANOR COLLEGE
Fairleigh Dickinson
115
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
Manor College
58
MANOR COLLEGE
Fairleigh Dickinson
102
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knights (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 185.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 4, 2025
MANR @ FDU
38 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+178.0% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.8
vs
Manor College: 0.0
Rebounding (L5)
+82.2% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 38.3
vs
Manor College: 21.0
Assists (L5)
+54.8% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 12.4
vs
Manor College: 8.0
Turnovers (L5)
+35.9% more
Manor College: 22.0
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MANR Score
70.0
38
FDU Score
115.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 40.0
32.0 / 10.0
Assists
12.4 / 8.0
21.0 / 5.0
Blocks
1.8 / 0.0
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 39.0
58.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 71.0
71.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 21.0
42.0 / 20.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.0
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 22.0
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MANR
--
FDU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MANR
--
FDU
Advantage
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MANR
--
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
MANR
FDU
MANR
ML
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
ATS
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
18-13
0%
0-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0