LAGRANGE
PANTHERSLGC
0-0 | Road
47
TROY
TROJANSTROY
6-5 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
TROJANS
0%
PANTHERS
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-64.0
TROY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +64.0 points (Troy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TROY -64.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TROY)
LGC By 1-7 points
0.0%
LGC By 8-14 points
0.0%
TROY By 1-7 points
0.0%
TROY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LaGrange
57
LAGRANGE
Troy
121
TROY
Simulated Score
LaGrange
43
LAGRANGE
Troy
92
TROY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trojans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trojans (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -64.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -49.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
LGC @ TROY
47 - 101
Dec 17, 2024
LGC @ TROY
60 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+38.4% more
Troy: 14.2
vs
LaGrange: 10.3
Rebounding (L5)
+18.7% more
Troy: 44.9
vs
LaGrange: 37.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.9%
Troy: 43.7%
vs
LaGrange: 33.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Troy: 28.3%
vs
LaGrange: 26.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LGC Score
57.0
47
TROY Score
121.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 26.0
29.0 / 23.0
Assists
14.2 / 10.3
26.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.2
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 33.8
49.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 76.2
74.0 / 35.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 37.8
55.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.8 / 8.5
16.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 20.0
16.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LGC
--
TROY
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LGC
--
TROY
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LGC
--
TROY
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TROY
LGC
TROY
LGC
ML
59%
20-14
100%
2-0
61%
20-13
100%
2-0
ATS
65%
22-12
100%
2-0
61%
20-13
100%
2-0
TTL
56%
19-15
100%
2-0
100%
33-0
100%
2-0
Contextual Game News
