Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blazers @ Bears ELMS @ BRWN

ELMS COLLEGE

BLAZERSELMS

0-0  |  Road

34
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 5:00 PM ET
Pizzitola Sports Center
View Odds Details →

BROWN

BEARSBRWN

5-6  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
BLAZERS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Brown)
BlazersELMS (-3.5) 0 BearsBRWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blazers Cover

0.0%

Bears Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)

ELMS By 1-7 points

0.0%

ELMS By 8-14 points

0.0%

BRWN By 1-7 points

0.0%

BRWN By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
52
ELMS COLLEGE
99
BROWN
Simulated Score
58
ELMS COLLEGE
95
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 ELMS @ BRWN 34 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +52.7% more
Brown: 39.2 vs Elms College: 25.7
Blocks (L5) +31.5% more
Brown: 3.5 vs Elms College: 2.7
Assists (L5) +30.0% more
Brown: 13.9 vs Elms College: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +17.6%
Brown: 35.9% vs Elms College: 18.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ELMS Score 52.0 34
BRWN Score 99.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 18.3 42.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.9 / 10.7 26.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.7 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 35.0 61.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 65.9 / 77.7 69.0 / 17.0
Rebounding 39.2 / 25.7 47.0 / 21.0
Steals 6.5 / 8.7 20.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 14.3 9.0 / 29.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELMS
--
BRWN Advantage
9-18-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELMS
--
BRWN Advantage
14-12-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ELMS
--
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
ELMS
BRWN
ELMS
ML
56% 15-12
100% 1-0
67% 18-9
100% 1-0
ATS
59% 16-11
100% 1-0
67% 18-9
100% 1-0
TTL
59% 16-11
100% 1-0
100% 27-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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