Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Royals @ Bulldogs ECCL @ LT

ECCLESIA

ROYALSECCL

0-0  |  Road

37
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 3:00 PM ET
Thomas Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

5-3  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
ROYALS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
ECCLESIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Ecclesia)
RoyalsECCL (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

99.9%

Bulldogs Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ECCL -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECCL)

ECCL By 1-7 points

1.1%

ECCL By 8-14 points

4.8%

LT By 1-7 points

0.1%

LT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
ECCLESIA
63
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
48
ECCLESIA
95
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 ECCL @ LT 37 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +49.5% more
Ecclesia: 21.6 vs Louisiana Tech: 10.9
Steals (L5) +12.3% more
Ecclesia: 6.5 vs Louisiana Tech: 5.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Ecclesia: 32.6% vs Louisiana Tech: 28.2%
Blocks (L5) +120.1% more
Louisiana Tech: 4.3 vs Ecclesia: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ECCL Score 93.0 37
LT Score 63.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.2 / 32.6 46.0 / 19.0
Assists 12.5 / 11.7 24.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.3 / 1.9 8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 39.4 65.0 / 24.0
Free Throw % 60.3 / 49.9 67.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 25.5 46.0 / 17.0
Steals 5.7 / 6.5 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 21.6 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECCL
--
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECCL
--
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ECCL
--
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
ECCL
LT
ECCL
ML
58% 19-14
60% 3-2
72% 23-9
100% 5-0
ATS
61% 20-13
60% 3-2
72% 23-9
100% 5-0
TTL
61% 20-13
100% 5-0
100% 32-0
100% 5-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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