AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
GAMECOCKS
100%
SENATORS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+35.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JXST +35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
AUM By 1-7 points
0.3%
AUM By 8-14 points
1.7%
JXST By 1-7 points
0.0%
JXST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Auburn-Montgomery
105
AUBURN-MONTGOMERY
Jacksonville State
70
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
Auburn-Montgomery
55
AUBURN-MONTGOMERY
Jacksonville State
78
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+43.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +35.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o167.5
Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
AUM @ JXST
39 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+49.4% more
Auburn-Montgomery: 12.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 6.1
Turnovers (L5)
+47.5% more
Auburn-Montgomery: 22.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+30.5%
Auburn-Montgomery: 84.0%
vs
Jacksonville State: 53.5%
Blocks (L5)
+57.5% more
Jacksonville State: 3.2
vs
Auburn-Montgomery: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AUM Score
105.0
39
JXST Score
70.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 18.0
39.0 / 16.0
Assists
13.9 / 12.0
13.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.0
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
37.5 / 32.0
49.0 / 21.0
Free Throw %
53.5 / 84.0
55.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 31.0
50.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.1 / 12.0
6.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 22.0
21.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUM
--
JXST
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUM
--
JXST
Advantage
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
AUM
--
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
AUM
JXST
AUM
ML
50%
16-16
0%
0-1
55%
17-14
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
20-12
100%
1-0
55%
17-14
100%
1-0
TTL
62%
20-12
0%
0-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0