AUBURN-MONTGOMERY

SENATORSAUM

0-0  |  Road

39
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 5:00 PM ET
Pete Mathews Coliseum
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

4-4  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
📊
GAMECOCKS
100%
SENATORS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+35.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
SenatorsAUM (-3.5) 0 GamecocksJXST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

0.0%

Gamecocks Cover

100.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JXST +35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)

AUM By 1-7 points

0.3%

AUM By 8-14 points

1.7%

JXST By 1-7 points

0.0%

JXST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
105
AUBURN-MONTGOMERY
70
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
55
AUBURN-MONTGOMERY
78
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Senators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+43.5) Win
Proj Spread: +35.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o167.5 Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 AUM @ JXST 39 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +49.4% more
Auburn-Montgomery: 12.0 vs Jacksonville State: 6.1
Turnovers (L5) +47.5% more
Auburn-Montgomery: 22.0 vs Jacksonville State: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5) +30.5%
Auburn-Montgomery: 84.0% vs Jacksonville State: 53.5%
Blocks (L5) +57.5% more
Jacksonville State: 3.2 vs Auburn-Montgomery: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AUM Score 105.0 39
JXST Score 70.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 18.0 39.0 / 16.0
Assists 13.9 / 12.0 13.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 37.5 / 32.0 49.0 / 21.0
Free Throw % 53.5 / 84.0 55.0 / 40.0
Rebounding 39.8 / 31.0 50.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.1 / 12.0 6.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 22.0 21.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUM
--
JXST Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUM
--
JXST Advantage
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
AUM
--
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
AUM
JXST
AUM
ML
50% 16-16
0% 0-1
55% 17-14
100% 1-0
ATS
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
55% 17-14
100% 1-0
TTL
62% 20-12
0% 0-1
100% 31-0
100% 1-0